League Two · 2026/2027 · provider tag opta

Newport County

14th on points, with 18. 14th on season xG difference. 14 league matches, 17.12 xG for, 18.44 against, goal difference +3.

Season xGD: -1.32
GF minus xG: +2.88
Last 10 xGD: +2.76
xG per match: 1.22

Chances and goals

Goals for xG for Goals against xG against

Cumulative league totals. A line pulling away from its pair is a gap between goals and chances, not a verdict.

Ratings that feed the price

Attack is xG for divided by the league’s home or away average. Defence is xG against divided by what the opposition usually creates in that venue. Both are shrunk towards the league with four phantom matches, so two bright afternoons cannot set the price on their own. Home attack 0.94 from 7 home matches. Home defence 0.93. Away attack 0.88 from 7 away matches. Away defence 0.98.

Next in the eight-day window: Crewe Alexandra v Newport County, Sat 14 Nov, 15:00. The model’s fair prices are home 39.7% (35/23), draw 27.4% (61/23), away 33.0% (49/24). λ 1.29, μ 1.15. That is a method. It is not a selection.

No regression flag. The gap between goals and xG is inside the line used from matchweek 8.

League matches

Newport County league matches with xG
Date	H/A	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	GF−xG
30 Oct	H	Chesterfield	4-1	1.30	1.30	+2.70
24 Oct	A	Cheltenham Town	0-1	1.52	1.56	-1.52
20 Oct	A	Rotherham United	2-2	2.23	1.59	-0.23
17 Oct	H	York City	1-1	1.18	1.57	-0.18
10 Oct	H	Colchester United	1-0	1.60	0.61	-0.60
3 Oct	A	Gillingham	0-0	1.22	0.28	-1.22
26 Sept	H	Grimsby Town	2-1	1.23	2.00	+0.77
19 Sept	A	Accrington Stanley	0-0	0.59	0.65	-0.59
12 Sept	H	Fleetwood Town	1-1	2.64	1.06	-1.64
5 Sept	A	Northampton Town	0-1	0.32	0.45	-0.32
1 Sept	A	Salford City	1-2	0.42	2.28	+0.58
29 Aug	H	Tranmere Rovers	2-2	1.06	0.94	+0.94
22 Aug	A	Bristol Rovers	3-5	0.66	3.99	+2.34
15 Aug	H	Rochdale	3-0	1.15	0.16	+1.85

Newport County

Chances and goals

Ratings that feed the price

League matches

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