Championship · 2026/2027 · provider tag opta
West Ham United
9th on points, with 23. 3rd on season xG difference. 15 league matches, 30.28 xG for, 18.33 against, goal difference +14.
- Season xGD
- +11.95
- GF minus xG
- +6.72
- Last 10 xGD
- +6.42
- xG per match
- 2.02
Chances and goals
Cumulative league totals. A line pulling away from its pair is a gap between goals and chances, not a verdict.
Ratings that feed the price
Attack is xG for divided by the league’s home or away average. Defence is xG against divided by what the opposition usually creates in that venue. Both are shrunk towards the league with four phantom matches, so two bright afternoons cannot set the price on their own. Home attack 1.25 from 7 home matches. Home defence 0.84. Away attack 1.26 from 8 away matches. Away defence 0.93.
Next in the eight-day window: West Ham United v Preston North End, Sat 21 Nov, 15:00. The model’s fair prices are home 61.9% (8/13), draw 20.5% (66/17), away 17.6% (103/22). λ 2.08, μ 1.01. That is a method. It is not a selection.
Regression flags
- Goals ahead of xG. Goals scored are 6.7 ahead of xG across 15 matches. A gap this size is mostly noise until the sample is long. It is a regression flag, not a verdict on the results.
League matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | GF−xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | A | Blackburn Rovers | 1-2 | 1.34 | 0.88 | -0.34 |
| 4 Nov | A | Cardiff City | 3-3 | 2.78 | 1.12 | +0.22 |
| 31 Oct | H | West Bromwich Albion | 1-3 | 0.90 | 2.06 | +0.10 |
| 24 Oct | H | Southampton | 2-3 | 1.51 | 1.55 | +0.49 |
| 17 Oct | A | Swansea City | 1-0 | 1.15 | 1.05 | -0.15 |
| 14 Oct | A | Lincoln City | 6-0 | 3.21 | 0.35 | +2.79 |
| 9 Oct | H | Queens Park Rangers | 1-1 | 1.44 | 1.27 | -0.44 |
| 19 Sept | A | Millwall | 2-2 | 1.87 | 2.68 | +0.13 |
| 11 Sept | H | Wrexham | 6-0 | 2.96 | 0.44 | +3.04 |
| 8 Sept | A | Bolton Wanderers | 3-2 | 2.22 | 1.56 | +0.78 |
| 5 Sept | H | Derby County | 3-0 | 3.79 | 0.11 | -0.79 |
| 1 Sept | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 4-2 | 2.05 | 0.94 | +1.95 |
| 29 Aug | A | Watford | 1-1 | 0.89 | 1.60 | +0.11 |
| 22 Aug | H | Charlton Athletic | 1-2 | 2.84 | 0.62 | -1.84 |
| 16 Aug | A | Burnley | 2-2 | 1.33 | 2.10 | +0.67 |