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English football, all four divisions

xgform

Expected goals, not a verdict. No tips, no selections. A front door for The Stat Man.

League One · 2026/2027 · provider tag opta

Huddersfield Town

1st on points, with 29. 1st on season xG difference. 14 league matches, 29.59 xG for, 13.19 against, goal difference +16.

Season xGD
+16.40
GF minus xG
-1.59
Last 10 xGD
+12.74
xG per match
2.11

Chances and goals

Goals for xG for Goals against xG against
07152230

Cumulative league totals. A line pulling away from its pair is a gap between goals and chances, not a verdict.

Ratings that feed the price

Attack is xG for divided by the league’s home or away average. Defence is xG against divided by what the opposition usually creates in that venue. Both are shrunk towards the league with four phantom matches, so two bright afternoons cannot set the price on their own. Home attack 1.20 from 7 home matches. Home defence 0.82. Away attack 1.35 from 7 away matches. Away defence 0.72.

Next in the eight-day window: Huddersfield Town v Leicester City, Sat 21 Nov, 15:00. The model’s fair prices are home 47.5% (21/19), draw 23.7% (74/23), away 28.8% (52/21). λ 1.71, μ 1.28. That is a method. It is not a selection.

No regression flag. The gap between goals and xG is inside the line used from matchweek 8.

League matches

Huddersfield Town league matches with xG
DateH/AOpponentScorexGxGAGF−xG
3 NovHLuton Town1-10.910.84+0.09
31 OctABradford City3-01.861.03+1.14
24 OctHWigan Athletic2-12.450.50-0.45
20 OctHPeterborough United4-12.720.92+1.28
17 OctAPlymouth Argyle2-02.700.76-0.70
10 OctHSheffield Wednesday2-21.871.75+0.13
3 OctABurton Albion3-13.230.17-0.23
19 SeptABromley1-22.730.39-1.73
12 SeptAMansfield Town0-01.360.86-1.36
5 SeptHNotts County1-11.571.44-0.57
1 SeptHOxford United3-13.571.21-0.57
29 AugACambridge United2-11.101.40+0.90
22 AugAMilton Keynes Dons1-12.281.54-1.28
15 AugHAFC Wimbledon3-01.240.38+1.76

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